DZ20220309

 

*Key points

Financials

*PBoC announced to hand in profit balance over cny 1tn to central finance in 2022 for tax refund, local transfer payment, poverty alleviation and employment security, which was equivalent to 50bp RRR cut and 1% more fiscal policy as analyzed by industrial expert.

*PBoC: annual growth of China macro leverage since 2017 was around 4.8% and reached 272.5% in 2021, back to stable channel, which is likely to sustain in 2022 with policy room created for increasing supports on real economy.

 

Funds

*E Fund announced to ease quota restriction of two funds under management of Zhang Kun, a well-known domestic fund manager from cny 10k to 50k, to take effect from March 9th.

 

Industrial Data

*As data shown by China Construction Machinery Association that excavator sales by 26 firms in Feb of 24.4k units, down 13.5% y/y and domestic sales of 17k units, down 30.5% y/y with exports of 7.4k units, up 97.7% y/y.

*CPCAAUTO: Feb passenger vehicle sales of 1.25mio units, up 4.2% y/y and down 40% m/m with NEV sales of 272k units, up 180.5% y/y and down 22.6% m/m.

 

*Block Trade Info

*Discount

-Wuliangye (000858 CH) saw 2 block trades worth 8mn at 166 yuan per share, 0.15pct discount from last closing.

- Cathay Biotech (688065 CH) saw 2 block trades worth 53mn at 105.3yuan per share, 8.73pct discount from last closing.

 

*Flat

-ZTE (000063 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 10mn at 25.66 yuan per share, 0.00pct discount from last closing.

-Sinodata Co (601088 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 37mn at 14.67 yuan per share, 0.00pct discount from last closing.

-Avic Heavy Machinery (600765 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 70mn at 39.83 yuan per share, 0.00pct discount from last closing.

-Vanke Co (000002 CH) saw 4 block trades worth 110mn at 17.67yuan per share, 0.00pct discount from last closing.

-Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH) saw 8 block trades worth 40mn at 17.66yuan per share, 0.00 discount from last closing.

-Focus Media (002027 CH) saw 4 block trades worth 166mn at 6.9 yuan per share, 0.00pct discount from last closing.

 

*Margin Trade

Total Margin Balance

1.6294 trillion

Total Short Selling Balance

90.8 billion

SH Margin Balance

0.8598 trillion

SH Short Selling Balance

59.6 billion

Top Five Margin Trade Net Bought (in CNY)

Top Five Short Selling Net Sold (in shares)

601012

543mio

600733

81.3mio

601318

331mio

600010

78.5mio

600036

265mio

688223

75mio

600277

242mio

601618

40mio

600056

239mio

601106

35mio

SZ Margin Balance

0.7697 trillion

SZ Short Selling Balance

31.2 billion

Top Five Margin Trade Net Bought (in CNY)

Top Five Short Selling Net Sold (in shares)

000825

151mio

000728

3.1mio

300014

149mio

002500

3.06mio

300750

122mio

002131

2.02mio

000960

120mio

002939

1.77mio

000002

98.15mio

000060

1.2mio

*Connection Trade

SH-HK Connection (bn cny)

SZ-HK Connection (bn cny)

Northbound Net Cash Flow

-3.2

Northbound Net Cash Flow

-5.6

Southbound Net Cash Flow

+0.046

Southbound Net Cash Flow

+1.8

Top 5 Northbound Inflow

Top 5 Northbound Outflow

Name

Market Value (mio cny)

‰ out of ttl share outstanding

Name

Market Value (mio cny)

‰ out of ttl share outstanding

601899

609

2.51

300750

2635

2.84

300274

585

4.31

601318

575

1.09

601088

322

0.72

600036

514

0.53

002738

300

9.79

002812

491

3.06

600900

248

0.46

002475

423

1.66

*Index Futures

Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots)

CSI 300 Index Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IF2203

140,527

25,768

78,809

159

89,585

-1,434

IF2204

14,703

2,705

13,221

1,065

13,574

1,570

IF2206

40,184

6,909

40,181

-587

50,702

-945

IF2209

12,588

752

16,698

866

21,445

1,168

SSE 50 Index Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IH2203

74,698

10,833

41,313

-342

45,609

-299

IH2206

19,376

3,740

18,615

880

25,542

1,221

IH2209

10,104

2,790

11,277

1,194

16,070

1,481

CSI 500 Index Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IC2203

119,182

23,119

93,101

4,938

92,454

602

IC2204

17,176

3,647

19,326

3,236

19,059

3,023

IC2206

36,230

11,488

79,148

3,237

92,206

2,669

IC2209

18,965

3,261

55,366

1,975

59,857

2,324

*Index Options

Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots)

CSI 300 Index Options

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IO2203

286560

55967

81498

1013

94518

2696

IO2204

68725

68725

26247

24247

27990

27990

*Treasury Futures

Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots)

2-Year Treasury Bond Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

TS2203

114

114

2,152

-9

2,152

-9

TS2206

32703

-2340

30784

459

33279

1715

5-Year Treasury Bond Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

TF2203

4

-206

2,451

-310

2,451

-310

TF2206

76017

-13764

81278

-358

84304

789

10-Year Treasury Bond Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

T2203

0

-224

1,939

-350

1,939

-350

T2206

117376

-44831

137707

1209

140686

3081

*Night Session Commodities Market (As of 02:30 am)

Top 3 Gainers (Dominant Contract)

Product

Contract

Price

Change %

Trading Volume

Open Interests

Nickel

NI2204

267,700.0

+17%

25,906

124,412

Bitumen

BU2206

4,408.0

+7.99%

490,605

485,887

Fuel Oil

FU2205

4,489.0

+7.91%

356,095

295,225

Top 3 Loser (Dominant Contract)

Product

Contract

Price

Change %

Trading Volume

Open Interests

Aluminum

AL2204

21,885.0

-5.22%

275,843

182,406

Thermal Coal

ZC205

884.2

-2.9%

1,858

8,951

Zinc

ZN2204

26,565.0

-1.7%

239,914

103,072

* Global oil prices mostly closed up as April contract of WTI surged by 4.5%, quoted at $124.77/barrel, recorded new high since July 2008. Likewise, May contract of Brent shifted up by 4.86%, closed at $129.2/barrel. President Biden has announced a ban on oil imports from Russia.

* COMEX gold futures closed higher to $2,058.3 per ounce with 3.13% increase, the new peak since August 2020.COMEX silver futures settle at $26.885 per ounce with 4.53% increase. The continuous tension between Russia and Ukraine has stimulated the purchase of safe haven assets.

* For the night session on March 9, commodity market mostly closed up for chemical and energy series leading the upside. Bitumen and fuel oil soared the most with approximately 8% increase, and PTA inched up by 4.21%. Black series closed mixed as coking coal, coke and iron ore shifted up slightly, while thermal coal eased back by 2.9%.

* LME metals mostly closed up with LME copper rose by 0.52% to $10,334.5/ton, LME zinc up by 3.36% to $4,250.5/ton, LME aluminum down by 1.58% to $3,681/ton, LME tin shifted 4.53% higher to $49,000/ ton, and LME lead closed up with 4.27% increase at $2,553/ton. After 74% increase in March 7, the price of LME nickel soared by 100% to more than $100,000/ton during the day. Upon that, LME announced the suspension of trading of LME nickel and the price fell back to $80,000 per ton with a 66% increase.

 

Download PDF

 

 

 

DISCLAIMER

The report is issued by Orient Securities Co. LTD (Orient Securities) and Shanghai Orient Futures Co. LTD (Orient Futures) to institutional investors. Opinions expressed may differ from those of other divisions of Orient Securities, including Orient Securities Research Institute. Orient Securities may trade as principal in instruments identified herein and may accumulate/have accumulated a long or short position in instruments or derivatives thereof. Orient Securities has policies designed to negate conflicts of interest. This e-mail is not an official confirmation of terms and unless stated, is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only. Communications may be monitored.